Market Trends

2011, IN REVIEW

  • Somewhat less transaction in most locations, price points and property types
  • Difficulties in obtaining mortgages during beginning of the year which were worked out during the last half of the year, lower mortgage maximums, increased rate/MIP premiums
  • Less inventory required the return of the bidding war for high demand property types and locations
  • Start of market stabilization; bottom out in most submarkets, reduced short sales and foreclosures
  • Inflamed buyer and seller anxiety due to increase in constant statistics, often misleading information from 24/7 “news sources,” pundits and social media outlets
  • Decline in self renovation, custom homes and flipping, as costs for completed projects exceed value
    added
  • Excessive new appraisal and loan underwriting rules, several years too late, which impacted sales

2012 OUTLOOK

  • Regarding our DC METRO area, continued stabilization as demand for close-in housing accelerates, increased jobs and low unemployment. Our area will out perform the rest of the country in terms of economic considerations including wages, job growth and real estate performance
  • New priorities with people wanting more quality of space than quantity, willing to pay a premium for locations with an urban feel and an easy commute
  • More casual and serious buyers and sellers appreciating and seeking advice from an experienced, trusted real estate and mortgage advisor, to avoid the pitfalls of costly shortcuts
  • Less focus on knee-jerk statistics and articles, more focus on big picture and quality of life consider- ations in housing; people are tired of too much “noise” from too many 24/7 sources
  • Changing floorplans and features in condos, townhomes and detached homes focused on quality of living space. Smaller “formal” rooms, if at all
  • Modest increase in mortgage rates gradually rising throughout the year (still at historic lows)

VARIABLES AND BEYOND

  • Global and domestic economic and political considerations are having an immediate world wide impact (often short lived) on financial markets and consumer psychology
  • US Elections taking priority over short and long term solutions, social unrest on many levels
  • Government increasing or decreasing support in mortgage availability, modifications, underwriting
    and appraisal standards
  • Some sources are predicting that continued job growth in METRO DC will outpace CLOSE IN housing
    inventory, and result in a housing shortage in 18-24 months (this trend can be seen with the return of bidding wars for close-in, well marketed, properly priced properties)